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Predictability: Why I Still Love Lucy

9/1/2011

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I was fortunate to be able to take a vacation to Orlando, Florida this summer, and visit Universal’s Theme Parks. Most people were there to see the World of Harry Potter, as evidenced by the extremely long lines. So I found an older section of the park to be more enjoyable. That’s when I spotted the “Tribute to Lucy.”  It is like a mini-museum and store for people who still love Lucille Ball. Of course, there were the predictable displays and items to buy. But there was a small display, behind the glass, that caught my eye. It described another side of Lucy, not just as a comedian, but as a student and teacher.

Apparently, Lucy was quite active in teaching others what she knew about her trade, and had a busy lecture schedule. But she also attended seminars herself, as a student, to continue to push herself towards excellence in her craft. So, what kind of class would Lucy take where she could possibly learn more about comedy and acting? Behind the glass laid perhaps the secret to her success. On display were her notes from a seminar where the objective was to prove that people have an ability to predict. Understanding prediction was important to writing a hit show. Prediction is at the root of cognition and knowing, and also allows us to retain an audience.

In The Explanation Age, I present the main reasons behind all explanations. And all reasons have predictive qualities. For example, from your “reaction”, I will automatically predict your readiness and tendency. And from your reason of “want”, I will automatically predict your mood and values. But it also works in reverse. Understanding and controlling the predictive qualities of our reasons will affect the reasons within our own explanations, and the explanations themselves. There are over 600 terms semantically connected throughout The Explanation Age, to bring a new level of predictability to our explanations, our education, our artificial intelligence, our knowledge management, and maybe also to our entertainment.
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